Antioxidants don’t prolong life

February 28, 2007

Foods rich in antioxidants (fruits, vegetables, whole grains) have long been reported as providing many benefits to your health, including a reduced risk of cardiovascular disease (heart and blood vessels).

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A recent study of tens of thousands of people taking antioxidant supplements found no longevity benefits from vitamins A, E and C and beta carotene and selenium, and even says that supplements may in fact increase mortality rate.

Many researchers believe antioxidants work only when they are in food, or that people who eat vitamin-rich food are healthier simply because they take better care of themselves.

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New Toyota plant in U.S.

February 27, 2007

Automotive News reports that Toyota is about to announce that they will build a new plant in Mississippi, at a cost of $1 billion, to build the Highlander SUV starting in April 2009. The Highlander is currently an import from Japan.

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In phase one, the plant will employ 2,100 workers.

In phase two, the plant will produce a new crossover model that does not yet exist.

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Jack Welch at NADA (Part 2)

February 26, 2007

Jack Welch was the main keynote speaker at the 2007 NADA event held in Las Vegas, Nevada. His presentation covered several issues, both general and specific to the automotive industry.

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Regarding the U.S. economy, Mr. Welch is a strong defender of the current state of affairs, and very optimistic about the future. Some highlights from his presentation:

       
  • The U.S. economy is extremely strong, as strong as it has ever been, and will continue to be so. He blamed the media for giving the opposite impression, and said that unfortunately the Iraq war clouds thinking. He thinks 2007 growth will be around 4%, with no inflation and very low unemployment. The Bush administration has done a great job with the economy, but he is astounded at how they have been "spending like drunks". He thinks that in Bush’s last two years there will be less spending, because the president will be more free to veto his friends’ pork.
       
  • When asked if China is taking away American manufacturing jobs, he responded that China is not a threat to the U.S., and cited these figures:
       
    • China’s economy is $1.8 trillion, growing at 10%: $200B a year. They must feed 1.3 billion people. (1)
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    • The U.S. economy is $14 trillion, growing at 4%. $560B a year. The U.S. must feed 300 million.
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    • If you look at it this way, the U.S. has 2.5 times as much money to feed one quarter of the people.
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  • Furthermore, the mix of innovation, entrepreneurial spirit and access to venture capital makes the U.S. unstoppable versus China, India, and Europe. No other country comes close to matching the lead the U.S. holds in these key areas. American companies face less bureaucracy, and are much more innovative and meritocratic. He asks: "What’s new coming from Asia or Europe?" Again, he blamed the media for distorting this reality.
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(1) Note: China (the Development Research Center of the State Council, a government think tank) just announced that they expect to see a correction in GDP growth this year, with the growth rate predicted at 9 percent, and that they believe the Chinese economy will continue to grow at an annual average rate of 7-8 percent in the coming 10 years.

See also:

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Steel conundrum

February 23, 2007

Here’s a conundrum for you on protectionism in the steel industry…

In this corner:

       
  • U.S. steel companies, their trade organizations and their largest unions are lobbying Congress for protection against soaring steel imports from China. They say that China’s growing steel exports are because of illegal and unfair subsidies. Steel imports from China grew over 133 percent in 2006, displacing domestic steel sources and threatening U.S. markets with steel subsidized by Chinese government in alleged violation of world trade policies. As reported by the Asia Times.

And over in this corner:

       
  • As the CATO Institute summarizes: "Over the past three decades, U.S. steel producers have been shielded from foreign competition by quotas, voluntary export restraints, minimum price undertakings, and hundreds of antidumping, countervailing duty, and safeguards measures." Of note is that the auto industry has been harmed over the decades by this aggressive level of trade protection. Read more at the Cato site, and at Wharton.

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China’s challenge: social stability and equality

February 23, 2007

When we hear negative news about China, it’s usually been about intellectual property and censorship issues.

But as China continues to concentrate the attention of automakers for its growing market potential, manufacturing capacity, and its steady steps into major markets with their own-brand cars, a much more serious problem threatens the country: social unrest due to the country’s widening income gap.

China is facing an "alarming" situation, says Labor and Social Security Ministry official Su Hainan, as reported in a Feb. 2 report by official news agency Xinhua.

Social unrest is escalating as the gap between rich and poor has grown to an "alarming and unacceptable level", according to China’s National Development and Reform Commission. Urban per capita income is 3.2 times that of rural areas, up from 2.5 in 1978, when China started to open its economy to the world.

In 2005 there were some 87,000 major protest incidents, up from 11,000 a decade before, according to China’s Public Security Ministry.

This problem is exacerbated by the government’s focus on health and education in the cities. Ninety percent of rural dwellers have no health coverage, half of rural towns lack running water. Millions of farm workers have lost their lands and income due to expropriations, sometimes without permission or adequate compensation. And corruption is also a problem.

The Chinese Youth Party China has been pushing for a more equitable system and asking that farmers be heard through increased municipal participation. The National People’s Congress recently approved a 5 year plan that looks to address this problem, meanwhile local critics are against the fast speed of pace of liberalization.

Discussions will begin in March as Chinese policy makers and citizens debate new laws to strengthen the rights of workers, including regulations on social security and labor disputes, and an employment promotion law. And, as Business Week reports,

"At the same time China is continuing its drive to unionize foreign and private employers across the mainland. Chinese unions have traditionally focused on minimizing labor disputes in order to support the Communist Party but are increasingly active in supporting workers’ rights."

Traditionally, major policy changes are very slow to be implemented in China, if they are at all, and sometimes new regulations don’t reach the far reaches of China.

"Even when China has very good laws, implementation lags far behind," says RDI’s Li Ping. Adds Kent D. Kedl, executive director of Shanghai-based business consultancy Technomic Asia: "They talk about the law, then they issue the law. Then it is another two or three years before it is finally enforced, and then only selectively."

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Seeing is not always believing

February 23, 2007

Illusion_lady
Check out this moderately disturbing video of how >->newsflash<-< advertising cannot always be trusted… (yes, I can hear your gasp!)

   

"This is a great example of how seeing should no longer be believing. The power to manipulate images translates directly into the power to manipulate what you think and feel. Check out just how much power we have these days to effortlessly manipulate images and your feelings of self worth."

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Jack Welch at NADA (Part 1)

February 21, 2007

Jack_welch_01
NADA’s
main keynote speaker was Jack Welch, the world-renowned ex-CEO of GE and author of the business best-seller Winning. His presentation was a real treat, and was done in the interesting format of an "interview" with Fox business journalist Stuart Varney. I thought it was a great way to get the most out of Mr. Welch’s penchant for speaking his mind freely and shooting from the hip.

Roughly, Mr. Welch’s one hour spot covered three major topics:

       
  • His views on "winning", which touched on how to create an ideal workplace
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  • The state of the U.S. economy
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  • Relevant insights on the auto industry

Although Mr. Welch’s discussion on creating good relationships inside the company started off with his belief that bad relations are the reason there are "so many whistle-blowers out there", a bit off-base and cynical in my humble opinion, he quickly went on to talk about the importance of your team, and how candor can help you achieve excellence in the workplace.

He talked at length about his well-known preference of rigorous face to face evaluations of people, in order to raise the bar continuously and thus field the best team. The companies that field the best people are the ones that will win, and that end goal gives you the best long-term chance to survive in the business world. He also talked about his views on firing, how to go about it, and its role as a necessary part of this quest for success.

Mr. Welch stressed the need to be straightforward with your people, and believes that every pay raise and bonus should be accompanied by a hand-written piece of paper containing "here’s what I like about what you’ve been doing, here’s what you can do to improve". Everyone must know, in fact everyone needs and has the right to know, exactly where they stand in the organization. A good takeaway is that not doing this is in fact a disservice to the company and to the person involved.

Regarding his keys to excelling, he went over his well-known "four E’s and a P":

       
  • Energy
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  • Energize others
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  • Edge. The ability to make Yes or No decisions. These decisions will get bigger and bigger as you grow.
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  • Execution. A learned skill, involves how to get things done.
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  • Passion. Care about your team, and about winning.

When asked about the validity of "The customer is always right" aphorism, he was quick to point out that though widely repeated, this should not be something that is set in stone.

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According to Mr. Welch, there are three types of customers who are not "worth it": the one who always has special and complex requests, and the ones who he deemed "horses asses": the big guy who you owe your whole life to, and who pushes you around, and the "bruiser" who beats up on your people… "if this one is not big, get rid of him!".

More in my next post…

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Chrysler downsizing

February 20, 2007

Chrysler_building
The story du jour is GM’s "serious" bid to buy Chrysler, that goes hand in hand with Daimler’s "serious" wish to sell. Read more here, a very good Business Week article that goes over the huge hurdles involved. They mention that Renault-Nissan and Hyundai are also interested.

One of GM’s (or any prospective buyer, actually) main goals would be to streamline Chrysler (platforms, models, dealerships, union agreements, health-care costs). Note that Chrysler had already begun their own process in this sense, as you can see by last week’s announced plans to:

       
  • Cut 13,000 jobs (through 2009), 11,000 in hourly jobs, 2000 salaried.
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  • Cut 400,000 units of annual production capacity.
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  • Spend $3 billion on new powertrains

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  How? They plan to:

       
  • Close their Delaware plant that builds the Dodge Durango and Chrysler Aspen SUVs, in 2009.
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  • Cut a shift at their Michigan pickup plant.
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  • Cut a shift at their St. Louis minivan plant
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  • Close a parts distribution center in Cleveland.

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NADA 2007 highlights

February 20, 2007

Nada_2007
This year’s NADA (National Automobile Dealers Association) convention was held in Las Vegas.

The exposition floor was enormous, even bigger than last year’s (which was huge), and boasted over 600 exhibitors (I didn’t actually count them but let’s trust the official figures :) .

Several dealer management system (DMS) providers were on hand. ADP had, in my opinion, the event’s nicest booth (if you can call it a booth, it was more of a region). Reynolds & Reynolds was of course also there; you’ll recall that UCS recently bought RR, but the new company will be known only as Reynolds & Reynolds, and no mention of UCS was there to be seen. (For the record, Manheim also had a beautiful booth.)

As for the medium-sized DMS players, Arkona with their AS-400 based DMS was there, and from what we learned when we spoke with them, they seem to be doing a lot of business lately. From the Windows corner, PBS and Quorum were the most notable providers. A note on PBS: their new interface, which they began to show last year at NADA 2006 in Orlando, looks nice.

Microsoft was present as well. You may have heard their announced entry into the DMS space, but in truth they had nothing to show. I don’t mean this in a pejorative way, there was literally nothing to see DMS-wise. They say they are currently in design mode and that they will have a product in 24-36 months, with a pilot planned for 2007.

Also in attendance were a plethora of add-on providers, more than last year. These ranged from a variety of CRM solutions that are intended to supplement shortcomings in some DMS systems (unlike certain DMS solutions that have built-in, intergrated CRM :) , to email marketers, web-site providers, lead generators, and more.

There was a very strong focus this year on two major issues:

       
  • Human Resources. How to hire right, motivate and retain your people, and create the best work environment.
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  • Fixed Operations. Parts and Service are vital in today’s world of diminishing vehicle sale margins.

In upcoming posts I’ll go into some of the major topics covered in each area.

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Least green cars 2007

February 16, 2007

I just posted the greenest cars, now here are the most environmentally unfriendly cars in 2007, according to the American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy.

  1. Volkswagen Touareg

  2. Mercedes-Benz Gl320 CDI

  3. Lamborghini Murcielago

  4. Jeep Grand Cherokee    

  5. Bentley Arnage Rl

  6. Mercedes-Benz R320 CDI

  7. Mercedes-Benz Ml320 CDI

  8. Maybach 57 S / 62 S

  9. Bentley Azure

  10. Ford F-250

  11. Dodge Ram 2500 Mega Cab

  12. Lincoln Navigator

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